Brighton’s poor away record came back to haunt them last weekend as they lost 1-0 against the terribly out of form Burnley, but just as it did last season their home form is keeping them in the respectable realms of the Premier League table.
The Seagulls had the worst away record in the top flight last season but managed to survive thanks to their resilience at the Amex Stadium, and their south coast fortress is showing no signs of falling anytime soon. They have lost just once at home this season, and have only lost 5 times there since their return to the top flight last term.
Unfortunately for them, 4 of these defeats have come against the traditional Premier League Big Six. Spurs, Chelsea, Liverpool, and Manchester City have beaten them there, although they have beaten Manchester United twice and Arsenal once in this period.
Still, stopping a Chelsea side high on confidence on Sunday could be a task too large for Chris Hughton’s men. The visitors inflicted defeat on Manchester City for the first time this Premier League season last weekend, and they have only lost 2 of their 16 outings so far.
Admittedly there have been some slip ups along the way, but their win against Pep Guardiola’s defending champions will have buoyed belief in their ability to challenge for the title. They are now 8 points adrift of new leaders Liverpool, but they have a relatively favourable fixture list over the next month or so.
Defensively there is some work to do though, especially when they’re on their travels. Chelsea have conceded 5 goals in their last 2 away games in the Premier League, and they’re facing a Brighton side who have scored in all 7 of their Premier League home games this season. Looking back into last season, The Seagulls have found the net in 10 league home games on the bounce and in 21 of their 26 matches there since returning to the top flight.
They have also scored in 6 of their 8 home games against the Premier League Big Six, so given Chelsea’s recent defensive frailties we think backing Both Teams to Score here is the best option. In the end we’re expecting Chelsea’s newfound confidence to see them through, so we’re backing a 2-1 win for the visitors as well.